Fleetwood Town 2-4 Doncaster Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 4 Dec 2024

Fleetwood Town
2-4 HT 2-3
Doncaster Rovers
📅04/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Fleetwood Town vs Doncaster Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
36%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.47
2-3 Goals
44%
1.81
4-5 Goals
20%
3.51
6+ Goals
10%
13.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.21
1/2
7%
27.5
1/X
8%
13.0
X/1
13%
6.16
X/2
9%
5.26
X/X
14%
4.66
2/1
8%
31.0
2/2
20%
3.37
2/X
6%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.0pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-2.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.3pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fleetwood Town v Doncaster Rovers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fleetwood Town EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Doncaster Rovers EU Bookmakers 43%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +33%
1.34/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/0.95
-56% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +62% / +73%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
328 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 73%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
23.3 Crosses 18.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0

Fleetwood Town vs Doncaster Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fleetwood Town
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Doncaster Rovers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.48 xG 0.64
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
246 Passes 306
67% Pass Accuracy 70%
19 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.03.2022 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN1
08.01.2022 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 0-1 HT 0-0 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
24.04.2021 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 0-1 HT 0-0 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
09.02.2021 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 3-1 HT 0-1 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN1
01.02.2020 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN1
17.08.2019 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 3-2 HT 2-1 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1

Fleetwood Town 2-4 Doncaster Rovers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fleetwood Town
2-4
AWAY Doncaster Rovers
1.04 xG 0.98
63% Ball Possession 37%
11 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
285 Passes 143
70% Pass Accuracy 59%
20 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Fleetwood Town vs Doncaster Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Doncaster Rovers saw off Fleetwood Town 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 2-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Doncaster Rovers found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Fleetwood Town had 63% of the ball to Doncaster Rovers's 37%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.04 to 0.98.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fleetwood Town had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Fleetwood Town and 0.83 for Doncaster Rovers.

What was the final score of Fleetwood Town vs Doncaster Rovers?

Fleetwood Town 2-4 Doncaster Rovers in the England - 2nd Division on 04/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fleetwood Town vs Doncaster Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fleetwood Town win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Fleetwood Town 36%, draw 28%, Doncaster Rovers 36%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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İN2 More England - 2nd Division
4 Dec 2024
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