Genoa U20 2-1 Cremonese U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Cup Primavera, 4 Dec 2024

📅04/12/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
22%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.63
Over 2.5
65%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.46
No
38%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
12%
2/2
7%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
56%
-1.8pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.4pp
22%
Away Win
22%
-0.6pp
35%
Under 2.5
34%
+0.6pp
65%
Over 2.5
66%
-0.6pp
62%
BTTS Yes
64%
-2.7pp
38%
BTTS No
36%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genoa U20 EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Cremonese U20 EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
420 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Genoa U20
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Cremonese U20
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2024 Cremonese U20 Cremonese U20 3-3 HT 0-1 Genoa U20 Genoa U20 İTAPŞ1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Genoa U20
2-1
AWAY Cremonese U20
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
14 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Genoa U20 vs Cremonese U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genoa U20 squeezed past Cremonese U20 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Genoa U20 as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Genoa U20 had 51% of the ball to Cremonese U20's 49%, shots finished 17-7.

What was the final score of Genoa U20 vs Cremonese U20?

Genoa U20 2-1 Cremonese U20 in the Italy - Cup Primavera on 04/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genoa U20 vs Cremonese U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Genoa U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Genoa U20 54%, draw 24%, Cremonese U20 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Genoa U20), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Genoa U20) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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