Monza U20 5-2 Ascoli U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Cup Primavera, 4 Dec 2024

Monza U20
5-2
Ascoli U19
📅04/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Cup Primavera – 2024/2025

Monza U20 vs Ascoli U19 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.43
Over 2.5
50%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.46
No
49%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
43%
-7.7pp
29%
Draw
23%
+6.2pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+1.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+12.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-12.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
64%
-13.0pp
49%
BTTS No
36%
+13.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Monza U20 v Ascoli U19 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monza U20 EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Ascoli U19 EU Bookmakers 38%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Monza U20 5-2 Ascoli U19 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monza U20
5-2
AWAY Ascoli U19
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Monza U20 vs Ascoli U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monza U20 ran out comfortable winners over Ascoli U19 5-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 36%) promised a tight game; Monza U20 found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Monza U20 had 54% of the ball to Ascoli U19's 46%, shots finished 11-13.

What was the final score of Monza U20 vs Ascoli U19?

Monza U20 5-2 Ascoli U19 in the Italy - Cup Primavera on 04/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monza U20 vs Ascoli U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ascoli U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Monza U20 35%, draw 29%, Ascoli U19 36%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ascoli U19) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ascoli U19) ✓ BTTS Yes
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