Padova Calcio 3-1 Atalanta II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 4 Dec 2024

📅04/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.08
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.64
6+ Goals
12%
15.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
-5.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.8pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+4.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.1pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Padova Calcio EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Atalanta II EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.56/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.48
-1% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
426 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Padova Calcio
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Atalanta II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
13.04.2024 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 2-0 HT 2-0 Atalanta II Atalanta II İTC
09.12.2023 Atalanta II Atalanta II 0-1 HT 0-1 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Padova Calcio
3-1
AWAY Atalanta II
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Padova Calcio vs Atalanta II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Padova Calcio saw off Atalanta II 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Padova Calcio as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Padova Calcio had 38% of the ball to Atalanta II's 62%, shots finished 11-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Padova Calcio had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Padova Calcio and 0.00 for Atalanta II.

What was the final score of Padova Calcio vs Atalanta II?

Padova Calcio 3-1 Atalanta II in the Italy - Serie C on 04/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Padova Calcio vs Atalanta II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Padova Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Padova Calcio 51%, draw 25%, Atalanta II 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Padova Calcio) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Padova Calcio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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