Padova Calcio 2-0 Atalanta II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.46
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
4.85
6+ Goals
8%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-3.1pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.8pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.1pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Padova Calcio EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Atalanta II EU Bookmakers 27%
-6% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.38/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/0.84
-6% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +47%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
360 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Padova Calcio
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Atalanta II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
09.12.2023 Atalanta II Atalanta II 0-1 HT 0-1 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Padova Calcio
2-0
AWAY Atalanta II
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Padova Calcio vs Atalanta II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Padova Calcio got the better of Atalanta II 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Padova Calcio as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Padova Calcio had 46% of the ball to Atalanta II's 54%, shots finished 8-16.

What was the final score of Padova Calcio vs Atalanta II?

Padova Calcio 2-0 Atalanta II in the Italy - Serie C on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Padova Calcio vs Atalanta II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Padova Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Padova Calcio 47%, draw 29%, Atalanta II 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Padova Calcio), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Padova Calcio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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