Novara 2-0 Legnago Salus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.82
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
30%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.09
No
51%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.45
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
4.86
6+ Goals
9%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
51%
-12.4pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.5pp
30%
Away Win
22%
+8.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.6pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Novara EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Legnago Salus EU Bookmakers 25%
-7% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +20%
1.23/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.38
-16% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
362 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Novara
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Legnago Salus
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
08.12.2023 Legnago Salus Legnago Salus 1-1 HT 0-1 Novara Novara İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novara
2-0
AWAY Legnago Salus
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Novara vs Legnago Salus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Novara beat Legnago Salus 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 31% / 30%) promised a tight game; Novara found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Novara had 51% of the ball to Legnago Salus's 49%, shots finished 13-4.

What was the final score of Novara vs Legnago Salus?

Novara 2-0 Legnago Salus in the Italy - Serie C on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Novara vs Legnago Salus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Novara win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Novara 39%, draw 31%, Legnago Salus 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Novara), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Novara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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