Bangkok United 3-2 Nam Dinh FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFCŞL2, 4 Dec 2024

Bangkok United
3-2 HT 2-1
Nam Dinh FC
📅04/12/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
AFCŞL2 – 2024/2025

Bangkok United vs Nam Dinh FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
41%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.53
No
53%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
4.35
2-3 Goals
34%
1.87
4-5 Goals
23%
2.87
6+ Goals
12%
8.38
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.35 — our 31% vs market 17.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
11%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
45%
-9.8pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.9pp
41%
Away Win
30%
+10.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
61%
-14.2pp
53%
BTTS No
39%
+14.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bangkok United v Nam Dinh FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bangkok United EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Nam Dinh FC EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
385 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Bangkok United vs Nam Dinh FC Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bangkok United
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Nam Dinh FC
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 18
0 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 12
The Meetings
02.10.2024 Nam Dinh FC Nam Dinh FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Bangkok United Bangkok United AFCŞL2

Bangkok United 3-2 Nam Dinh FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bangkok United
3-2
AWAY Nam Dinh FC
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
273 Passes 299
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 21
8 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bangkok United vs Nam Dinh FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bangkok United squeezed past Nam Dinh FC 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Nam Dinh FC at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Bangkok United had 45% of the ball to Nam Dinh FC's 55%, shots finished 14-13.

What was the final score of Bangkok United vs Nam Dinh FC?

Bangkok United 3-2 Nam Dinh FC in the AFCŞL2 on 04/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bangkok United vs Nam Dinh FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nam Dinh FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Bangkok United 35%, draw 24%, Nam Dinh FC 41%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Nam Dinh FC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nam Dinh FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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