Blooming 1-1 Aurora — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 4 Dec 2024

📅04/12/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.67
Over 2.5
35%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.85
No
62%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+1.1pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.3pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.3pp
65%
Under 2.5
56%
+9.3pp
35%
Over 2.5
44%
-9.3pp
38%
BTTS Yes
50%
-12.3pp
62%
BTTS No
50%
+12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Blooming EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Aurora EU Bookmakers 33%
+19% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.22/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.37
+13% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +2%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
247 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 75%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
12.8 Crosses 14.5
4.3 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Blooming
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Aurora
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.20 xG 1.30
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
199 Passes 352
68% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 22
10 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 4
09.08.2024 Aurora Aurora 1-0 HT 0-0 Blooming Blooming BOLİ
01.04.2024 Aurora Aurora 4-2 HT 1-2 Blooming Blooming BOLİ
29.03.2024 Blooming Blooming 1-0 HT 0-0 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
24.11.2023 Aurora Aurora 3-1 HT 1-1 Blooming Blooming BOLİ
21.05.2023 Blooming Blooming 2-1 HT 1-0 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
19.09.2021 Aurora Aurora 2-0 HT 1-0 Blooming Blooming BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Blooming
1-1
AWAY Aurora
1.44 xG 0.46
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
281 Passes 283
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
10 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Blooming vs Aurora
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Blooming and Aurora couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Blooming at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (65%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

On the day, Blooming had 50% of the ball to Aurora's 50%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 1.44 to 0.46.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aurora led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Blooming and 1.83 for Aurora.

What was the final score of Blooming vs Aurora?

Blooming 1-1 Aurora in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 04/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Blooming vs Aurora?

Before kick-off our model rated a Blooming win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Blooming 42%, draw 28%, Aurora 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Blooming), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Blooming) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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