Corinthians vs Bahia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Corinthians v Bahia — Team-Based Signals
Corinthians vs Bahia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-5
HT 0-3
Bahia
BR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Corinthians
BR1
3-1
HT 1-1
Bahia
BR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Corinthians
BR1
2-1
HT 2-0
Corinthians
BR1
Corinthians 3-0 Bahia — Actual Match Statistics
Corinthians ran out comfortable winners over Bahia 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Corinthians as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Corinthians had 52% of the ball to Bahia's 48%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 1.78 to 0.40.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Corinthians and 1.33 for Bahia.
What was the final score of Corinthians vs Bahia?
Corinthians 3-0 Bahia in the Brazil - Serie A on 04/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Corinthians vs Bahia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Corinthians win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Corinthians 50%, draw 27%, Bahia 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Corinthians), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.