Ethiopia Bunna 2-0 Arba Minch Kenema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 4 Dec 2024

📅04/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
23%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.52
Over 2.5
33%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.09
No
62%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
21%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.1pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.4pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-1.3pp
67%
Under 2.5
62%
+4.6pp
33%
Over 2.5
38%
-4.6pp
38%
BTTS Yes
44%
-6.0pp
62%
BTTS No
56%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ethiopia Bunna EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Arba Minch Kenema EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.62/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.51
+51% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +127%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
232 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ethiopia Bunna
2-0
AWAY Arba Minch Kenema
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ethiopia Bunna vs Arba Minch Kenema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ethiopia Bunna beat Arba Minch Kenema 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ethiopia Bunna as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Ethiopia Bunna had 46% of the ball to Arba Minch Kenema's 54%, shots finished 9-4.

What was the final score of Ethiopia Bunna vs Arba Minch Kenema?

Ethiopia Bunna 2-0 Arba Minch Kenema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 04/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ethiopia Bunna vs Arba Minch Kenema?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ethiopia Bunna win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ethiopia Bunna 45%, draw 31%, Arba Minch Kenema 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ethiopia Bunna), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ethiopia Bunna) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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