Bahardar 3-0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 4 Dec 2024

📅04/12/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.8
Draw
35%
2.83
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.38
Over 2.5
33%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.29
No
56%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
33%
-0.8pp
35%
Draw
32%
+2.8pp
33%
Away Win
35%
-2.0pp
67%
Under 2.5
69%
-2.2pp
33%
Over 2.5
31%
+2.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.3pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bahardar EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Ethiopia Nigd Bank EU Bookmakers 38%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
1.55/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.46
+52% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -27%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
316 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bahardar
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
5 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.06.2024 Ethiopia Nigd Bank Ethiopia Nigd Bank 2-2 HT 0-2 Bahardar Bahardar ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bahardar
3-0
AWAY Ethiopia Nigd Bank
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bahardar vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bahardar ran out comfortable winners over Ethiopia Nigd Bank 3-0.

Our pre-match split (32% / 35% / 33%) promised a tight game; Bahardar found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (67%) missed.

On the day, Bahardar had 44% of the ball to Ethiopia Nigd Bank's 56%, shots finished 9-5.

What was the final score of Bahardar vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?

Bahardar 3-0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 04/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bahardar vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Bahardar 32%, draw 35%, Ethiopia Nigd Bank 33%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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