Avustralya (K) 3-1 Tayvan (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 4 Dec 2024

📅04/12/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.11
Draw
33%
8.78
Away
33%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.0
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
85%
-51.9pp
33%
Draw
8%
+24.9pp
33%
Away Win
6%
+26.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avustralya (K) EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Tayvan (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-22% / +80% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
33.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.8 Crosses
0.4 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Avustralya (K) vs Tayvan (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avustralya (K) got the better of Tayvan (K) 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Avustralya (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Avustralya (K) vs Tayvan (K)?

Avustralya (K) 3-1 Tayvan (K) in the Friendlies on 04/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avustralya (K) vs Tayvan (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avustralya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Avustralya (K) 33%, draw 33%, Tayvan (K) 33%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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