Meksika (K) 1-1 Panama (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 4 Dec 2024

Meksika (K)
1-1 HT 1-1
Panama (K)
📅04/12/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2024

Meksika (K) vs Panama (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.18
Draw
33%
5.71
Away
33%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.61
Over 2.5
50%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.13
No
50%
1.63
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
80%
-46.3pp
33%
Draw
14%
+19.2pp
33%
Away Win
6%
+27.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
35%
+15.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
65%
-15.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
43%
+7.2pp
50%
BTTS No
57%
-7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Meksika (K) v Panama (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Meksika (K) EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Panama (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +78% / +78%
3.00/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.27/0.44
+38% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +72% / –
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
46.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
29.0 Crosses 4.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0

Meksika (K) vs Panama (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Meksika (K)
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Panama (K)
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.88 xG 1.16
62% Ball Possession 38%
22 Total Shots 14
10 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 4
315 Passes 145
74% Pass Accuracy 55%
47 Box Touches 8
24 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
06.08.2019 Meksika (K) Meksika (K) 5-1 HT 3-0 Panama (K) Panama (K) PANAMK
11.10.2018 Panama (K) Panama (K) 2-0 HT 0-0 Meksika (K) Meksika (K) Kuzey / Orta Amerika - Kadınlar DK CONCACAF Elemeleri
POST-MATCH Meksika (K) vs Panama (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Meksika (K) and Panama (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Meksika (K) and 1.50 for Panama (K).

What was the final score of Meksika (K) vs Panama (K)?

Meksika (K) 1-1 Panama (K) in the Friendlies on 04/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Meksika (K) vs Panama (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Meksika (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Meksika (K) 33%, draw 33%, Panama (K) 33%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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