BUL vs UPDF Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
BUL v UPDF — Team-Based Signals
BUL vs UPDF Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
5-1
HT 2-0
UPDF
UGA
1-1
HT 0-1
BUL
UGA
BUL 0-2 UPDF — Actual Match Statistics
UPDF got the better of BUL 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had BUL at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.
On the day, BUL had 65% of the ball to UPDF's 35%, shots finished 5-6.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, BUL had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for BUL and 1.00 for UPDF.
What was the final score of BUL vs UPDF?
BUL 0-2 UPDF in the Uganda - Premier League on 04/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for BUL vs UPDF?
Before kick-off our model rated a BUL win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split BUL 55%, draw 30%, UPDF 15%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (BUL) went the other way.