Uganda Police 2-1 Wakiso Giants — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 4 Dec 2024

📅04/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.02
Draw
31%
2.83
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.45
Over 2.5
44%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.27
No
51%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-7.1pp
31%
Draw
32%
-0.3pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+7.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
65%
-9.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
35%
+9.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
40%
+9.5pp
51%
BTTS No
60%
-9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uganda Police EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Wakiso Giants EU Bookmakers 26%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.38/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.29
+22% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uganda Police
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Wakiso Giants
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
26.10.2021 Uganda Police Uganda Police 0-1 HT 0-1 Wakiso Giants Wakiso Giants UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uganda Police
2-1
AWAY Wakiso Giants
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Uganda Police vs Wakiso Giants
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uganda Police squeezed past Wakiso Giants 2-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 31% / 30%) promised a tight game; Uganda Police found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Uganda Police had 50% of the ball to Wakiso Giants's 50%, shots finished 6-5.

What was the final score of Uganda Police vs Wakiso Giants?

Uganda Police 2-1 Wakiso Giants in the Uganda - Premier League on 04/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uganda Police vs Wakiso Giants?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uganda Police win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Uganda Police 38%, draw 31%, Wakiso Giants 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uganda Police) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Uganda Police) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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