Xelaju MC 1-1 Alajuelense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF - Central Amerika Cup, 4 Dec 2025

📅04/12/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
32%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
32%
+9.5pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.4pp
32%
Away Win
40%
-7.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.4pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xelaju MC EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Alajuelense EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +73% / +96%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
Crosses 6.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Xelaju MC
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Alajuelense
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
34% Ball Possession 66%
15 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
27.11.2025 Alajuelense Alajuelense 1-1 HT 0-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC CONOAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Xelaju MC
1-1
AWAY Alajuelense
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Xelaju MC vs Alajuelense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xelaju MC and Alajuelense shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Xelaju MC at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Xelaju MC had 48% of the ball to Alajuelense's 52%, shots finished 15-10.

What was the final score of Xelaju MC vs Alajuelense?

Xelaju MC 1-1 Alajuelense in the CONCACAF - Central Amerika Cup on 04/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xelaju MC vs Alajuelense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xelaju MC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Xelaju MC 41%, draw 26%, Alajuelense 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Xelaju MC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Xelaju MC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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