Genesis PN 2-2 Juticalpa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 4 Dec 2025

Genesis PN
2-2 HT 1-1
Juticalpa
📅04/12/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Honduras - National League Apertura – 2025/2026

Genesis PN vs Juticalpa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.61
Draw
19%
3.72
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
58%
+0.4pp
19%
Draw
24%
-4.5pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.1pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Genesis PN v Juticalpa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genesis PN EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Juticalpa EU Bookmakers 21%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.91/0.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.37
-3% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +19%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
438 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Genesis PN vs Juticalpa Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Genesis PN
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Juticalpa
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
The Meetings
25.09.2025 Juticalpa Juticalpa 1-1 HT 1-0 Genesis PN HON
24.02.2025 Juticalpa Juticalpa 0-1 HT 0-1 Genesis PN HON
01.12.2024 Genesis PN 3-0 HT 0-0 Juticalpa Juticalpa HON
22.09.2024 Juticalpa Juticalpa 0-0 HT 0-0 Genesis PN HON
POST-MATCH Genesis PN vs Juticalpa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genesis PN and Juticalpa couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. Genesis PN carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Genesis PN had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Genesis PN and 0.25 for Juticalpa.

What was the final score of Genesis PN vs Juticalpa?

Genesis PN 2-2 Juticalpa in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 04/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genesis PN vs Juticalpa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Genesis PN win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Genesis PN 59%, draw 19%, Juticalpa 22%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Genesis PN) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Genesis PN) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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