Juticalpa 0-1 Genesis PN — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 24 Feb 2025

📅24/02/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.53
Draw
34%
2.88
Away
38%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.9
No
46%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
36%
-7.8pp
34%
Draw
31%
+2.4pp
39%
Away Win
33%
+5.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.9pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juticalpa EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Genesis PN EU Bookmakers 37%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.21/0.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/0.81
-7% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +36%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
337 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juticalpa
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Genesis PN
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
01.12.2024 Genesis PN 3-0 HT 0-0 Juticalpa Juticalpa HON
22.09.2024 Juticalpa Juticalpa 0-0 HT 0-0 Genesis PN HON
POST-MATCH Juticalpa vs Genesis PN
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genesis PN nicked a narrow win over Juticalpa 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (28% / 34% / 39%) promised a tight game; Genesis PN found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Genesis PN led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Juticalpa and 1.50 for Genesis PN.

What was the final score of Juticalpa vs Genesis PN?

Juticalpa 0-1 Genesis PN in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 24/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juticalpa vs Genesis PN?

Before kick-off our model rated an Genesis PN win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Juticalpa 28%, draw 34%, Genesis PN 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Genesis PN), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Genesis PN) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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