CD Olimpia 1-0 Marathon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 24 Feb 2025

📅24/02/2025 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.95
No
46%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
60%
-9.1pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.0pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+4.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-1.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+1.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
+7.2pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Olimpia EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Marathon EU Bookmakers 20%
+1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +16%
2.36/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.78
+24% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Olimpia
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Marathon
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
07.10.2024 Marathon Marathon 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
05.08.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 2-2 HT 1-2 Marathon Marathon HON
26.05.2024 Marathon Marathon 2-2 HT 1-2 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
20.05.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 3-1 HT 1-1 Marathon Marathon HON
18.04.2024 Marathon Marathon 2-1 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
29.01.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 1-1 HT 1-0 Marathon Marathon HON
POST-MATCH CD Olimpia vs Marathon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Olimpia squeezed past Marathon 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had CD Olimpia as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for CD Olimpia and 1.33 for Marathon.

What was the final score of CD Olimpia vs Marathon?

CD Olimpia 1-0 Marathon in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 24/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Olimpia vs Marathon?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split CD Olimpia 51%, draw 29%, Marathon 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Olimpia) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CD Olimpia) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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