Marathon 2-1 CD Olimpia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 18 Apr 2024

📅18/04/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
30%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.82
Over 2.5
43%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.75
No
56%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
32%
+9.9pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.1pp
30%
Away Win
41%
-11.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
51%
+6.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
49%
-6.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.9pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marathon EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Olimpia EU Bookmakers 45%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +26%
1.14/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/0.58
-1% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +111%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
244 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marathon
1W-3D-2L
AWAY CD Olimpia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 12
2 Yellow Cards 4
29.01.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 1-1 HT 1-0 Marathon Marathon HON
13.11.2023 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 5-1 HT 1-1 Marathon Marathon HON
18.09.2023 Marathon Marathon 0-1 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
14.05.2023 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 1-1 HT 1-0 Marathon Marathon HON
11.05.2023 Marathon Marathon 1-1 HT 1-1 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
12.03.2023 Marathon Marathon 2-0 HT 1-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
POST-MATCH Marathon vs CD Olimpia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marathon edged past CD Olimpia 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Marathon as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Olimpia led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Marathon and 1.50 for CD Olimpia.

What was the final score of Marathon vs CD Olimpia?

Marathon 2-1 CD Olimpia in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 18/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marathon vs CD Olimpia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marathon win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Marathon 42%, draw 28%, CD Olimpia 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marathon) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Marathon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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