CD Olimpia 1-1 Marathon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 29 Jan 2024

📅29/01/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.43
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
18%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.95
Over 2.5
55%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
65%
-8.2pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.4pp
18%
Away Win
14%
+3.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Olimpia EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Marathon EU Bookmakers 17%
+1% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -6%
2.22/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.87
+7% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
406 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Olimpia
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Marathon
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
12 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 2
13.11.2023 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 5-1 HT 1-1 Marathon Marathon HON
18.09.2023 Marathon Marathon 0-1 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
14.05.2023 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 1-1 HT 1-0 Marathon Marathon HON
11.05.2023 Marathon Marathon 1-1 HT 1-1 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
12.03.2023 Marathon Marathon 2-0 HT 1-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
29.01.2023 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 0-0 HT 0-0 Marathon Marathon HON
POST-MATCH CD Olimpia vs Marathon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Olimpia and Marathon shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. CD Olimpia carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Olimpia had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for CD Olimpia and 0.83 for Marathon.

What was the final score of CD Olimpia vs Marathon?

CD Olimpia 1-1 Marathon in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 29/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Olimpia vs Marathon?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split CD Olimpia 57%, draw 25%, Marathon 18%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (CD Olimpia), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CD Olimpia) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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