Lobos UPNFM 3-0 Vida — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 29 Jan 2024

Lobos UPNFM
3-0 HT 2-0
Vida
📅29/01/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Honduras - National League Apertura – 2023/2024

Lobos UPNFM vs Vida Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
41%
+4.0pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.6pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-1.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lobos UPNFM v Vida — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lobos UPNFM EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Vida EU Bookmakers 34%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -3%
1.31/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.52
-3% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
355 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.0 Yellow Cards 4.0

Lobos UPNFM vs Vida Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lobos UPNFM
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Vida
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
6 Corners 5
The Meetings
22.10.2023 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 2-1 HT 0-1 Vida Vida HON
26.08.2023 Vida Vida 5-1 HT 2-1 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
30.04.2023 Vida Vida 2-1 HT 2-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
26.02.2023 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 3-0 HT 2-0 Vida Vida HON
21.04.2022 Vida Vida 4-2 HT 1-2 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
20.01.2022 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 3-0 HT 0-1 Vida Vida HON
POST-MATCH Lobos UPNFM vs Vida
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lobos UPNFM ran out comfortable winners over Vida 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lobos UPNFM as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Lobos UPNFM and 2.00 for Vida.

What was the final score of Lobos UPNFM vs Vida?

Lobos UPNFM 3-0 Vida in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 29/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lobos UPNFM vs Vida?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lobos UPNFM win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Lobos UPNFM 45%, draw 25%, Vida 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lobos UPNFM), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lobos UPNFM) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HON More Honduras - National League Apertura
29 Jan 2024
00:00 Olancho vs CD Real Sociedad Analysis →
02:00 CD Olimpia vs Marathon Analysis →