Olancho 0-1 CD Real Sociedad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 29 Jan 2024

📅29/01/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
15%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
56%
-6.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.8pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+6.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olancho EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 22%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -19%
1.20/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/2.09
-37% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -22%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
418 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olancho
3W-2D-0L
AWAY CD Real Sociedad
2.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
9 Corners 5
23.10.2023 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 0-1 HT 0-1 Olancho Olancho HON
28.08.2023 Olancho Olancho 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
24.04.2023 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 0-2 HT 0-1 Olancho Olancho HON
20.02.2023 Olancho Olancho 2-2 HT 1-1 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
20.10.2022 Olancho Olancho 7-0 HT 3-0 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
POST-MATCH Olancho vs CD Real Sociedad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Real Sociedad nicked a narrow win over Olancho 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Olancho at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Olancho had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for Olancho and 0.40 for CD Real Sociedad.

What was the final score of Olancho vs CD Real Sociedad?

Olancho 0-1 CD Real Sociedad in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 29/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olancho vs CD Real Sociedad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olancho win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Olancho 49%, draw 26%, CD Real Sociedad 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Olancho) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Olancho) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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