Marathon 2-2 CD Olimpia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
Over 2.5
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
-0.5pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.8pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+1.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.3pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marathon EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Olimpia EU Bookmakers 36%
-9% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
1.26/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.37
-9% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
434 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 4.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marathon
1W-2D-3L
AWAY CD Olimpia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
20.05.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 3-1 HT 1-1 Marathon Marathon HON
18.04.2024 Marathon Marathon 2-1 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
29.01.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 1-1 HT 1-0 Marathon Marathon HON
13.11.2023 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 5-1 HT 1-1 Marathon Marathon HON
18.09.2023 Marathon Marathon 0-1 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
14.05.2023 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 1-1 HT 1-0 Marathon Marathon HON
POST-MATCH Marathon vs CD Olimpia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marathon and CD Olimpia couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Olimpia led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Marathon and 2.00 for CD Olimpia.

What was the final score of Marathon vs CD Olimpia?

Marathon 2-2 CD Olimpia in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marathon vs CD Olimpia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marathon win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Marathon 40%, draw 27%, CD Olimpia 33%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Marathon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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