CD Olimpia 3-1 Marathon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 20 May 2024

📅20/05/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
19%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
57%
-1.0pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+0.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.9pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Olimpia EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Marathon EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +12%
1.91/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.69
+9% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +0%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
356 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Olimpia
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Marathon
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
18.04.2024 Marathon Marathon 2-1 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
29.01.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 1-1 HT 1-0 Marathon Marathon HON
13.11.2023 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 5-1 HT 1-1 Marathon Marathon HON
18.09.2023 Marathon Marathon 0-1 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
14.05.2023 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 1-1 HT 1-0 Marathon Marathon HON
11.05.2023 Marathon Marathon 1-1 HT 1-1 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
POST-MATCH CD Olimpia vs Marathon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Olimpia beat Marathon 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had CD Olimpia as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Olimpia had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for CD Olimpia and 1.00 for Marathon.

What was the final score of CD Olimpia vs Marathon?

CD Olimpia 3-1 Marathon in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 20/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Olimpia vs Marathon?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split CD Olimpia 56%, draw 25%, Marathon 19%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Olimpia), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CD Olimpia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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