CD Olimpia vs Marathon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
CD Olimpia v Marathon — Team-Based Signals
CD Olimpia vs Marathon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
5-1
HT 1-1
Marathon
HON
0-1
HT 0-0
CD Olimpia
HON
CD Olimpia and Marathon shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had CD Olimpia at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Olimpia had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for CD Olimpia and 1.17 for Marathon.
What was the final score of CD Olimpia vs Marathon?
CD Olimpia 2-2 Marathon in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 05/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for CD Olimpia vs Marathon?
Before kick-off our model rated a CD Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split CD Olimpia 55%, draw 23%, Marathon 22%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (CD Olimpia) went the other way.