Juticalpa 1-1 CD Real Sociedad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 5 Aug 2024

Juticalpa
1-1 HT 0-1
CD Real Sociedad
📅05/08/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Honduras - National League Apertura – 2024/2025

Juticalpa vs CD Real Sociedad Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
1.74
Over 2.5
60%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
13%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
40%
+3.6pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.5pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-1.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
54%
-13.2pp
60%
Over 2.5
46%
+13.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.2pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Juticalpa v CD Real Sociedad — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juticalpa EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
338 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 3.0
POST-MATCH Juticalpa vs CD Real Sociedad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juticalpa and CD Real Sociedad couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Juticalpa at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Juticalpa vs CD Real Sociedad?

Juticalpa 1-1 CD Real Sociedad in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 05/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juticalpa vs CD Real Sociedad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juticalpa win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Juticalpa 44%, draw 24%, CD Real Sociedad 32%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Juticalpa) ✗ Over 2.5
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