Express vs Calvary Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Express v Calvary — Team-Based Signals
Express 4-0 Calvary — Actual Match Statistics
Express cruised past Calvary 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Express as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Express had 59% of the ball to Calvary's 41%, shots finished 13-10.
What was the final score of Express vs Calvary?
Express 4-0 Calvary in the Uganda - Premier League on 04/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Express vs Calvary?
Before kick-off our model rated a Express win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Express 62%, draw 24%, Calvary 15%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Express), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.