URA vs Kitara Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
URA v Kitara — Team-Based Signals
URA vs Kitara Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
URA 0-1 Kitara — Actual Match Statistics
Kitara edged past URA 1-0 away from home.
This one beat our numbers. URA carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, URA had 62% of the ball to Kitara's 38%, shots finished 11-4.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for URA and 1.00 for Kitara.
What was the final score of URA vs Kitara?
URA 0-1 Kitara in the Uganda - Premier League on 04/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for URA vs Kitara?
Before kick-off our model rated a URA win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split URA 60%, draw 20%, Kitara 20%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.