Kitara 3-0 URA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 14 Mar 2024

Kitara
3-0 HT 2-0
URA
📅14/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Uganda - Premier League – 2023/2024

Kitara vs URA Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
36%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.6
Over 2.5
48%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.09
No
48%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
53%
-11.6pp
22%
Draw
27%
-4.3pp
36%
Away Win
20%
+16.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
44%
+8.5pp
48%
BTTS No
56%
-8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kitara v URA — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kitara EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY URA EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +106%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
322 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 217 · 68%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Kitara vs URA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kitara swept aside URA 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kitara as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Kitara vs URA?

Kitara 3-0 URA in the Uganda - Premier League on 14/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kitara vs URA?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kitara win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kitara 42%, draw 22%, URA 36%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kitara) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kitara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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