Busoga United 2-2 Bright Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 14 Mar 2024

📅14/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.29
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.6
Over 2.5
33%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.95
No
61%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
3%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
-0.4pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.7pp
45%
Away Win
44%
+1.2pp
67%
Under 2.5
59%
+8.1pp
33%
Over 2.5
41%
-8.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
47%
-8.0pp
61%
BTTS No
53%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Busoga United EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Bright Stars EU Bookmakers 48%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -58% / -58%
0.21/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-79% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -8%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
285 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Busoga United
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Bright Stars
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
19.11.2021 Busoga United Busoga United 0-0 HT 0-0 Bright Stars Bright Stars UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Busoga United
2-2
AWAY Bright Stars
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Busoga United vs Bright Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Busoga United and Bright Stars couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

Our pre-match lean was Bright Stars at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Busoga United had 47% of the ball to Bright Stars's 53%, shots finished 16-11.

What was the final score of Busoga United vs Bright Stars?

Busoga United 2-2 Bright Stars in the Uganda - Premier League on 14/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Busoga United vs Bright Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bright Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Busoga United 27%, draw 29%, Bright Stars 45%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bright Stars) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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