05/01/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-0
2nd Score
4-0
E Sour Ghozlane vs AS Khroub Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
No
65%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
3%
X/X
3%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
75%
Home Win
77%
13%
Draw
14%
12%
Away Win
8%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
E Sour Ghozlane v AS Khroub — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
E Sour Ghozlane
EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY
AS Khroub
EU Bookmakers 11%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+12% /
+12%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+82%
/
+19%
67%
Ball Possession
33%
20
Total Shots
9
8
Shots on Target
3
7
Corners
3
563 · 88%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
216 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
4.0
POST-MATCH
E Sour Ghozlane vs AS Khroub
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
E Sour Ghozlane squeezed past AS Khroub 2-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had E Sour Ghozlane as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (66%) landed while no to both teams scoring (65%) missed.
What was the final score of E Sour Ghozlane vs AS Khroub?
E Sour Ghozlane 2-1 AS Khroub in the Algeria - 2nd Division on 05/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for E Sour Ghozlane vs AS Khroub?
Before kick-off our model rated a E Sour Ghozlane win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split E Sour Ghozlane 75%, draw 13%, AS Khroub 12%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (E Sour Ghozlane), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (E Sour Ghozlane)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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