05/01/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
1-2
RC Arbaa vs SKAF Khemis Melina Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
Over 2.5
68%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
No
40%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
38%
15%
Draw
22%
37%
Away Win
40%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
RC Arbaa v SKAF Khemis Melina — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
RC Arbaa
EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY
SKAF Khemis Melina
EU Bookmakers 45%
-2% /
-2%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-12%
/
-9%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
52%
Ball Possession
48%
14
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
5
364 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
297 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
5.0
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
RC Arbaa vs SKAF Khemis Melina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
RC Arbaa beat SKAF Khemis Melina 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had RC Arbaa as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of RC Arbaa vs SKAF Khemis Melina?
RC Arbaa 2-0 SKAF Khemis Melina in the Algeria - 2nd Division on 05/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for RC Arbaa vs SKAF Khemis Melina?
Before kick-off our model rated a RC Arbaa win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split RC Arbaa 47%, draw 15%, SKAF Khemis Melina 37%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RC Arbaa) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (RC Arbaa)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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CZYR2
More Algeria - 2nd Division
5 Jan 2024