Steve Biko 1-0 Samger — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Gambiya - GFA League, 5 Jan 2024

📅05/01/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
40%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
Over
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No Pick
55%
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
46%
4-5
20%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
3%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
32%
Home Win
40%
-8.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.5pp
40%
Away Win
34%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Steve Biko The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Samger The Market 38%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
299 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Steve Biko vs Samger
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Steve Biko edged past Samger 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 28% / 40% — and on the day Steve Biko made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Steve Biko vs Samger?

Steve Biko 1-0 Samger in the Gambiya - GFA League on 05/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Steve Biko vs Samger?

Before kick-off our model rated an Samger win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Steve Biko 32%, draw 28%, Samger 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Samger) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Samger) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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GAM More Gambiya - GFA League
5 Jan 2024
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