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Atletico Madrid (K) vs Real Madrid (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atletico Madrid (K) v Real Madrid (K) — Team-Based Signals
Atletico Madrid (K) vs Real Madrid (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
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Atletico Madrid (K) 1-2 Real Madrid (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Real Madrid (K) nicked a narrow win over Atletico Madrid (K) 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Real Madrid (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Atletico Madrid (K) had 41% of the ball to Real Madrid (K)'s 59%, shots finished 11-20, expected goals 0.59 to 1.87 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Real Madrid (K)'s control.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Atletico Madrid (K) had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Atletico Madrid (K) and 1.50 for Real Madrid (K).
What was the final score of Atletico Madrid (K) vs Real Madrid (K)?
Atletico Madrid (K) 1-2 Real Madrid (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 05/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atletico Madrid (K) vs Real Madrid (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Madrid (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Atletico Madrid (K) 33%, draw 33%, Real Madrid (K) 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.