Tayland 2-3 Vietnam SR — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFF Championship, 5 Jan 2025

📅05/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.71
Over
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.84
No
53%
1.84
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
46%
4-5
18%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
23%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Tayland The Market 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Vietnam SR The Market 32%
Great Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
Great Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
1.20 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.65
0.53 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 0.39
Bad Attackvs comparable teams Bad
Defensevs comparable teams Great
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
324 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 75%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
11.0 Crosses 12.6
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tayland
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Vietnam SR
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.93 xG 1.03
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
338 Passes 300
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
11 Box Touches 17
9 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.01.2025 Vietnam SR Vietnam SR 2-1 HT 0-0 Tayland Tayland AFF
10.09.2024 Vietnam SR Vietnam SR 1-2 HT 1-2 Tayland Tayland HAZ
16.01.2023 Tayland Tayland 1-0 HT 1-0 Vietnam SR Vietnam SR AFF
13.01.2023 Vietnam SR Vietnam SR 2-2 HT 1-0 Tayland Tayland AFF
26.12.2021 Tayland Tayland 0-0 HT 0-0 Vietnam SR Vietnam SR AFF
23.12.2021 Vietnam SR Vietnam SR 0-2 HT 0-2 Tayland Tayland AFF
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tayland
2-3
AWAY Vietnam SR
0.64 xG 0.47
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
419 Passes 232
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
21 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Tayland vs Vietnam SR
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Vietnam SR squeezed past Tayland 3-2 on their travels. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

We leaned Tayland at 43% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (58%) never looked like landing.

Under the surface, Tayland had 61% of the ball to Vietnam SR's 39%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 0.64 to 0.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tayland had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tayland and 0.83 for Vietnam SR.

Tayland vs Vietnam SR Result & Final Score

Tayland 2-3 Vietnam SR in the AFF Championship on 05/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Tayland vs Vietnam SR Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Tayland win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Tayland 43%, draw 26%, Vietnam SR 31%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tayland) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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