Al Ahli FC Dubai 2-0 Al Nasr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 5 Jan 2025

Al Ahli FC Dubai
2-0 HT 0-0
Al Nasr
📅05/01/2025 · 🕒15:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
UAE - League – 2025/2026

Al Ahli FC Dubai vs Al Nasr Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.45
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.74
Over 2.5
57%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.55
No
50%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.02
2-3 Goals
38%
2.04
4-5 Goals
27%
2.42
6+ Goals
15%
5.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
64%
-3.2pp
20%
Draw
20%
+0.1pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+3.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
33%
+10.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
67%
-10.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.3pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Ahli FC Dubai v Al Nasr — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli FC Dubai EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nasr EU Bookmakers 20%
+5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
2.09/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.75
+25% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -16%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
401 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 77%
28.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
19.7 Crosses 12.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5

Al Ahli FC Dubai vs Al Nasr Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli FC Dubai
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Al Nasr
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.55 xG 1.47
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
322 Passes 354
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
17.04.2024 Al Nasr Al Nasr 3-2 HT 2-1 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE
27.10.2023 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 3-3 HT 2-1 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
18.04.2023 Al Nasr Al Nasr 2-2 HT 1-1 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE
11.11.2022 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 3-0 HT 1-0 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
11.05.2022 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
21.11.2021 Al Nasr Al Nasr 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE
POST-MATCH Al Ahli FC Dubai vs Al Nasr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli FC Dubai beat Al Nasr 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Ahli FC Dubai as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Nasr led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Al Ahli FC Dubai and 1.83 for Al Nasr.

What was the final score of Al Ahli FC Dubai vs Al Nasr?

Al Ahli FC Dubai 2-0 Al Nasr in the UAE - League on 05/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli FC Dubai vs Al Nasr?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahli FC Dubai win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli FC Dubai 61%, draw 20%, Al Nasr 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli FC Dubai) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahli FC Dubai) ✗ Over 2.5
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