Al Ittihad Kalba 3-2 Ajman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 5 Jan 2025

📅05/01/2025 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.38
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.19
6+ Goals
11%
11.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
43%
-6.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+5.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.8pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ittihad Kalba EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajman EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +8%
1.29/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.19
-8% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
314 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 79%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
20.6 Crosses 18.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ittihad Kalba
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Ajman
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.71 xG 2.29
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
302 Passes 302
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2024 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 2-4 HT 2-1 Ajman Ajman BAE
29.09.2023 Ajman Ajman 3-5 HT 1-3 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba BAE
19.04.2023 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 0-2 HT 0-1 Ajman Ajman BAE
12.11.2022 Ajman Ajman 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba BAE
25.03.2022 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 1-0 HT 1-0 Ajman Ajman BAELK
19.02.2022 Ajman Ajman 4-3 HT 1-0 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ittihad Kalba
3-2
AWAY Ajman
3.59 xG 1.51
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 10
370 Passes 357
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 27
5 Crosses 34
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Ittihad Kalba vs Ajman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ittihad Kalba edged past Ajman 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Al Ittihad Kalba found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Al Ittihad Kalba had 50% of the ball to Ajman's 50%, shots finished 17-16, expected goals 3.59 to 1.51 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Ittihad Kalba's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ajman led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Al Ittihad Kalba and 2.33 for Ajman.

What was the final score of Al Ittihad Kalba vs Ajman?

Al Ittihad Kalba 3-2 Ajman in the UAE - League on 05/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ittihad Kalba vs Ajman?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ittihad Kalba win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Al Ittihad Kalba 37%, draw 27%, Ajman 36%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ittihad Kalba), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ittihad Kalba) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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