Al Ittihad Kalba 2-4 Ajman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
41%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.38
Over 2.5
53%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.0
2-3 Goals
42%
1.95
4-5 Goals
25%
2.76
6+ Goals
11%
7.27
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
13%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
45%
-12.2pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.1pp
41%
Away Win
31%
+10.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.3pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ittihad Kalba EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajman EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +13%
1.24/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.09
-24% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
330 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 80%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
25.0 Crosses 17.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ittihad Kalba
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Ajman
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.54 xG 2.20
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
291 Passes 289
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 1
29.09.2023 Ajman Ajman 3-5 HT 1-3 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba BAE
19.04.2023 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 0-2 HT 0-1 Ajman Ajman BAE
12.11.2022 Ajman Ajman 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba BAE
25.03.2022 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 1-0 HT 1-0 Ajman Ajman BAELK
19.02.2022 Ajman Ajman 4-3 HT 1-0 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba BAE
11.09.2021 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 1-1 HT 0-0 Ajman Ajman BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ittihad Kalba
2-4
AWAY Ajman
1.59 xG 1.56
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
352 Passes 301
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Ittihad Kalba vs Ajman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajman saw off Al Ittihad Kalba 4-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ajman as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Ittihad Kalba had 54% of the ball to Ajman's 46%, shots finished 15-16, expected goals 1.59 to 1.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ajman led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Al Ittihad Kalba and 1.83 for Ajman.

What was the final score of Al Ittihad Kalba vs Ajman?

Al Ittihad Kalba 2-4 Ajman in the UAE - League on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ittihad Kalba vs Ajman?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ajman win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Al Ittihad Kalba 32%, draw 27%, Ajman 41%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajman), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ajman) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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