Al Wahda 3-3 Al Ahli FC Dubai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.57
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.07
Over 2.5
43%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.6
No
52%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.95
2-3 Goals
43%
1.84
4-5 Goals
20%
3.13
6+ Goals
9%
10.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.95 — our 28% vs market 20.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
35%
-2.0pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.5pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-1.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
44%
+13.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
56%
-13.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.0pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Wahda EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli FC Dubai EU Bookmakers 43%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
1.26/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.36
-19% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +21%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
17.7 Crosses 14.7
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Wahda
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Al Ahli FC Dubai
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.06 xG 1.35
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
306 Passes 291
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 22
25 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.09.2023 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 3-1 HT 2-1 Al Wahda Al Wahda BAE
10.02.2023 Al Wahda Al Wahda 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE
16.09.2022 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Wahda Al Wahda BAE
04.03.2022 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 1-3 HT 1-1 Al Wahda Al Wahda BAE
23.09.2021 Al Wahda Al Wahda 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE
13.02.2021 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 2-2 HT 1-1 Al Wahda Al Wahda BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Wahda
3-3
AWAY Al Ahli FC Dubai
2.08 xG 1.84
63% Ball Possession 37%
20 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 8
387 Passes 199
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
33 Box Touches 24
31 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Al Wahda vs Al Ahli FC Dubai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Wahda and Al Ahli FC Dubai shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (33% / 30% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Wahda had 63% of the ball to Al Ahli FC Dubai's 37%, shots finished 20-17, expected goals 2.08 to 1.84.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahli FC Dubai led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Wahda and 1.50 for Al Ahli FC Dubai.

What was the final score of Al Wahda vs Al Ahli FC Dubai?

Al Wahda 3-3 Al Ahli FC Dubai in the UAE - League on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Wahda vs Al Ahli FC Dubai?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahli FC Dubai win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Al Wahda 33%, draw 30%, Al Ahli FC Dubai 37%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Ahli FC Dubai) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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