Jaraaf 1-0 Orapa Utd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Konfederasyon Cup, 5 Jan 2025

📅05/01/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.34
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
12%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
3.06
No
64%
1.32
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.21
2-3 Goals
47%
1.72
4-5 Goals
16%
4.94
6+ Goals
7%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
32%
X/2
3%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
70%
-1.7pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.0pp
12%
Away Win
9%
+2.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-3.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+3.1pp
36%
BTTS Yes
28%
+7.4pp
64%
BTTS No
72%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jaraaf EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Orapa Utd EU Bookmakers 12%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
3.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/6.00
+49% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -70%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
406 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 1.0
Crosses 0.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jaraaf
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Orapa Utd
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.99 xG 1.09
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
243 Passes 287
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
15.12.2024 Orapa Utd Orapa Utd 0-0 HT 0-0 Jaraaf Jaraaf CAFKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jaraaf
1-0
AWAY Orapa Utd
2.94 xG 0.15
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 5
11 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 3
254 Passes 214
77% Pass Accuracy 67%
36 Box Touches 6
29 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Jaraaf vs Orapa Utd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jaraaf squeezed past Orapa Utd 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Jaraaf as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Jaraaf had 59% of the ball to Orapa Utd's 41%, shots finished 19-5, expected goals 2.94 to 0.15 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Jaraaf's control.

What was the final score of Jaraaf vs Orapa Utd?

Jaraaf 1-0 Orapa Utd in the CAF Konfederasyon Cup on 05/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jaraaf vs Orapa Utd?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jaraaf win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Jaraaf 68%, draw 20%, Orapa Utd 12%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jaraaf), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Jaraaf) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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