CS Sfaxien 0-1 Simba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Konfederasyon Cup, 5 Jan 2025

📅05/01/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.47
Draw
34%
2.88
Away
24%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.45
Over 2.5
30%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.19
No
64%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
47%
1.94
2-3 Goals
33%
1.77
4-5 Goals
11%
6.02
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 1.94 — our 47% vs market 42.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
27%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+5.0pp
34%
Draw
31%
+3.2pp
24%
Away Win
32%
-8.3pp
70%
Under 2.5
65%
+4.7pp
30%
Over 2.5
35%
-4.7pp
36%
BTTS Yes
42%
-5.1pp
64%
BTTS No
58%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CS Sfaxien EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Simba EU Bookmakers 36%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-56% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
324 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 72%
15.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.9 Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CS Sfaxien
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Simba
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.29 xG 1.51
24% Ball Possession 76%
5 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 11
103 Passes 498
54% Pass Accuracy 85%
5 Box Touches 33
4 Crosses 36
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.12.2024 Simba Simba 2-1 HT 1-1 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien CAFKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CS Sfaxien
0-1
AWAY Simba
0.49 xG 0.80
57% Ball Possession 43%
6 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 6
316 Passes 209
73% Pass Accuracy 65%
3 Box Touches 8
16 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CS Sfaxien vs Simba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Simba nicked a narrow win over CS Sfaxien 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was CS Sfaxien at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

On the day, CS Sfaxien had 57% of the ball to Simba's 43%, shots finished 6-7, expected goals 0.49 to 0.80.

What was the final score of CS Sfaxien vs Simba?

CS Sfaxien 0-1 Simba in the CAF Konfederasyon Cup on 05/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CS Sfaxien vs Simba?

Before kick-off our model rated a CS Sfaxien win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split CS Sfaxien 42%, draw 34%, Simba 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (CS Sfaxien) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CS Sfaxien) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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