Simba 2-1 CS Sfaxien — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Konfederasyon Cup, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.76
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
21%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.6
Over 2.5
38%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.39
2-3 Goals
46%
1.71
4-5 Goals
14%
4.44
6+ Goals
6%
24.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.39 — our 34% vs market 33.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
20%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★★ Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-6.1pp
33%
Draw
26%
+6.3pp
21%
Away Win
21%
-0.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.0pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Simba EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY CS Sfaxien EU Bookmakers 24%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.95/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/0.99
+45% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
350 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 73%
15.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
17.5 Crosses 16.4
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Simba
2-1
AWAY CS Sfaxien
1.51 xG 0.29
76% Ball Possession 24%
18 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 0
498 Passes 103
85% Pass Accuracy 54%
33 Box Touches 5
36 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Simba vs CS Sfaxien
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Simba edged past CS Sfaxien 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Simba as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Simba had 76% of the ball to CS Sfaxien's 24%, shots finished 18-5, expected goals 1.51 to 0.29 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Simba's control.

What was the final score of Simba vs CS Sfaxien?

Simba 2-1 CS Sfaxien in the CAF Konfederasyon Cup on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Simba vs CS Sfaxien?

Before kick-off our model rated a Simba win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Simba 47%, draw 33%, CS Sfaxien 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Simba) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Simba) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
CAFKK More CAF Konfederasyon Cup
15 Dec 2024
16:00 CD Lunda-Sul vs Stellenbosch FC Analysis →
16:00 Black Bulls Maputo vs Enyimba Analysis →
16:00 Orapa Utd vs Jaraaf Analysis →
19:00 Onze Bravos vs CS Constantine Analysis →
19:00 Zamalek vs Al Masry Analysis →
22:00 RSB Berkane vs Stade Malien Bamako Analysis →