RSB Berkane 1-0 Stade Malien Bamako — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Konfederasyon Cup, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.25
Draw
25%
4.95
Away
15%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.71
Over 2.5
51%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
3.14
No
54%
1.31
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2.67
2-3 Goals
45%
1.71
4-5 Goals
24%
3.93
6+ Goals
8%
18.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
13%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
76%
-16.5pp
25%
Draw
18%
+7.9pp
15%
Away Win
6%
+8.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
55%
-5.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
45%
+5.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
28%
+18.0pp
54%
BTTS No
72%
-18.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RSB Berkane EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Malien Bamako EU Bookmakers 8%
+8% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.56/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.17/3.72
+23% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -81% / -18%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
391 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 71%
31.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 5.0
24.5 Crosses 4.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RSB Berkane
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Stade Malien Bamako
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.33 xG 0.65
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
277 Passes 262
72% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.03.2024 RSB Berkane RSB Berkane 3-0 HT 1-0 Stade Malien Bamako Stade Malien Bamako CAFKK
03.12.2023 Stade Malien Bamako Stade Malien Bamako 1-2 HT 0-2 RSB Berkane RSB Berkane CAFKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RSB Berkane
1-0
AWAY Stade Malien Bamako
3.20 xG 0.02
79% Ball Possession 21%
33 Total Shots 1
11 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 2
545 Passes 62
87% Pass Accuracy 48%
48 Box Touches 1
47 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH RSB Berkane vs Stade Malien Bamako
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RSB Berkane edged past Stade Malien Bamako 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had RSB Berkane as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, RSB Berkane had 79% of the ball to Stade Malien Bamako's 21%, shots finished 33-1, expected goals 3.20 to 0.02 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold RSB Berkane's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, RSB Berkane had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for RSB Berkane and 0.50 for Stade Malien Bamako.

What was the final score of RSB Berkane vs Stade Malien Bamako?

RSB Berkane 1-0 Stade Malien Bamako in the CAF Konfederasyon Cup on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RSB Berkane vs Stade Malien Bamako?

Before kick-off our model rated a RSB Berkane win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split RSB Berkane 60%, draw 25%, Stade Malien Bamako 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RSB Berkane), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (RSB Berkane) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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