CD Lunda-Sul 0-1 Stellenbosch FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Konfederasyon Cup, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
4.48
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
35%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.64
Over 2.5
38%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
30%
1.99
No
70%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
45%
2.54
2-3 Goals
32%
1.71
4-5 Goals
16%
4.14
6+ Goals
7%
20.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.54 — our 45% vs market 31.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
19%
+17.0pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.8pp
35%
Away Win
51%
-16.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
57%
+5.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
43%
-5.3pp
30%
BTTS Yes
46%
-16.7pp
70%
BTTS No
54%
+16.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Lunda-Sul EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Stellenbosch FC EU Bookmakers 55%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
356 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Lunda-Sul
0-1
AWAY Stellenbosch FC
0.69 xG 3.25
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 23
3 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 8
253 Passes 329
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Box Touches 41
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CD Lunda-Sul vs Stellenbosch FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stellenbosch FC nicked a narrow win over CD Lunda-Sul 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; Stellenbosch FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (70%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, CD Lunda-Sul had 45% of the ball to Stellenbosch FC's 55%, shots finished 14-23, expected goals 0.69 to 3.25 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Stellenbosch FC's control.

What was the final score of CD Lunda-Sul vs Stellenbosch FC?

CD Lunda-Sul 0-1 Stellenbosch FC in the CAF Konfederasyon Cup on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Lunda-Sul vs Stellenbosch FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Lunda-Sul win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split CD Lunda-Sul 36%, draw 29%, Stellenbosch FC 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (CD Lunda-Sul) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CD Lunda-Sul) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
CAFKK More CAF Konfederasyon Cup
15 Dec 2024
16:00 Simba vs CS Sfaxien Analysis →
16:00 Black Bulls Maputo vs Enyimba Analysis →
16:00 Orapa Utd vs Jaraaf Analysis →
19:00 Onze Bravos vs CS Constantine Analysis →
19:00 Zamalek vs Al Masry Analysis →
22:00 RSB Berkane vs Stade Malien Bamako Analysis →