Dreams 1-0 Accra Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Gana - Premier League, 5 Jan 2025

📅05/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
77%
Over 2.5
23%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
27%
2.67
No
73%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
10%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
22%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-9.2pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.9pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+5.3pp
27%
BTTS Yes
33%
-6.2pp
73%
BTTS No
67%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dreams EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Accra Lions EU Bookmakers 19%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
1.32/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.43/1.22
+5% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
272 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dreams
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Accra Lions
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
12.03.2022 Accra Lions 1-0 HT 0-0 Dreams Dreams GANA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dreams
1-0
AWAY Accra Lions
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 0
6 Shots on Target 0
13 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dreams vs Accra Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dreams squeezed past Accra Lions 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dreams as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (77%), no to both teams scoring (73%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Dreams had 51% of the ball to Accra Lions's 49%, shots finished 15-0.

What was the final score of Dreams vs Accra Lions?

Dreams 1-0 Accra Lions in the Gana - Premier League on 05/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dreams vs Accra Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dreams win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Dreams 48%, draw 31%, Accra Lions 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dreams), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dreams) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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