Nations 3-1 Basake Holy Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Gana - Premier League, 5 Jan 2025

📅05/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.37
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
15%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.95
No
59%
1.35
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
69%
-9.6pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.2pp
15%
Away Win
10%
+5.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
30%
+11.0pp
59%
BTTS No
70%
-11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nations EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Basake Holy Stars EU Bookmakers 12%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.70/0.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.63
+4% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +85% / -18%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
449 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
POST-MATCH Nations vs Basake Holy Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nations got the better of Basake Holy Stars 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nations as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Nations vs Basake Holy Stars?

Nations 3-1 Basake Holy Stars in the Gana - Premier League on 05/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nations vs Basake Holy Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nations win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Nations 59%, draw 26%, Basake Holy Stars 15%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nations) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nations) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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