Hong Kong FC 2-0 Wofoo Tai Po — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 5 Jan 2025

📅05/01/2025 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
9.57
Draw
23%
5.28
Away
60%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
Over 2.5
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
35%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
8%
+9.5pp
23%
Draw
16%
+7.3pp
60%
Away Win
77%
-16.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.2pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hong Kong FC EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Wofoo Tai Po EU Bookmakers 81%
+9% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.87/2.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.01/0.73
+20% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -12%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
242 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 424 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hong Kong FC
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Wofoo Tai Po
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.11.2024 Wofoo Tai Po Wofoo Tai Po 2-1 HT 2-0 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC HK1
07.05.2024 Wofoo Tai Po Wofoo Tai Po 3-0 HT 2-0 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC HK1
28.04.2024 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC 0-3 HT 0-1 Wofoo Tai Po Wofoo Tai Po HK1
12.03.2023 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Wofoo Tai Po Wofoo Tai Po HK1
27.11.2022 Wofoo Tai Po Wofoo Tai Po 1-2 HT 0-2 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC HK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hong Kong FC
2-0
AWAY Wofoo Tai Po
42% Ball Possession 58%
4 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hong Kong FC vs Wofoo Tai Po
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hong Kong FC got the better of Wofoo Tai Po 2-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Wofoo Tai Po at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Hong Kong FC had 42% of the ball to Wofoo Tai Po's 58%, shots finished 4-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Wofoo Tai Po led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Hong Kong FC and 2.00 for Wofoo Tai Po.

What was the final score of Hong Kong FC vs Wofoo Tai Po?

Hong Kong FC 2-0 Wofoo Tai Po in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 05/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hong Kong FC vs Wofoo Tai Po?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wofoo Tai Po win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Hong Kong FC 17%, draw 23%, Wofoo Tai Po 60%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Wofoo Tai Po) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wofoo Tai Po) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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