North District 4-4 Hong Kong Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 5 Jan 2025

📅05/01/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.94
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
35%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.46
No
46%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
30%
+12.0pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.8pp
35%
Away Win
45%
-10.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
-10.9pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME North District EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Hong Kong Rangers EU Bookmakers 49%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.46/2.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.10/1.65
+26% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / -39%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
274 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME North District
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Hong Kong Rangers
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 4
24.11.2024 North District North District 3-3 HT 3-1 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers HK1
28.04.2024 North District North District 0-1 HT 0-0 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers HK1
24.02.2024 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers 2-3 HT 1-1 North District North District HK1
POST-MATCH North District vs Hong Kong Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

North District and Hong Kong Rangers shared the points in a 4-4 draw. It was 4-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was North District at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for North District and 2.00 for Hong Kong Rangers.

What was the final score of North District vs Hong Kong Rangers?

North District 4-4 Hong Kong Rangers in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 05/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for North District vs Hong Kong Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a North District win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split North District 42%, draw 22%, Hong Kong Rangers 35%. The final score 4-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (North District) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (North District) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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