Marsaxlokk FC 1-6 Hamrun Spartans — Result, Statistics & Match Review — MALTP, 5 Jan 2025

📅05/01/2025 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.04
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
42%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.75
Over 2.5
39%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.95
No
61%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
21%
+6.4pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.2pp
43%
Away Win
53%
-10.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
53%
+7.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
47%
-7.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
47%
-8.2pp
61%
BTTS No
53%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marsaxlokk FC EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamrun Spartans EU Bookmakers 57%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
203 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marsaxlokk FC
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Hamrun Spartans
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
44% Ball Possession 56%
5 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
02.11.2024 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 2-3 HT 0-1 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MLTP
16.03.2024 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 1-2 HT 0-0 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MLTP
25.11.2023 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
16.12.2022 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
07.09.2022 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 1-0 HT 1-0 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marsaxlokk FC
1-6
AWAY Hamrun Spartans
51% Ball Possession 49%
3 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Marsaxlokk FC vs Hamrun Spartans
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamrun Spartans cruised past Marsaxlokk FC 6-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hamrun Spartans as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Marsaxlokk FC had 51% of the ball to Hamrun Spartans's 49%, shots finished 3-12.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Hamrun Spartans led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Marsaxlokk FC and 1.20 for Hamrun Spartans.

What was the final score of Marsaxlokk FC vs Hamrun Spartans?

Marsaxlokk FC 1-6 Hamrun Spartans in the MALTP on 05/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marsaxlokk FC vs Hamrun Spartans?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hamrun Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Marsaxlokk FC 28%, draw 30%, Hamrun Spartans 43%. The final score 1-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hamrun Spartans) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hamrun Spartans) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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